Saturday, January 31, 2009

AA30 Spreadsheet Link

Hello and welcome to my blog.

The spreadsheet link for AA30 is below. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any of the stocks listed. Due diligence is your responsibility. If you need professional investment advice then find a professional.

A fairly even mix of green up alerts and orange down alerts. I figure this is pretty much a reflection of the market trying to decide which way to proceed. To quote Yogi Berra, "When you get to the fork in the road, take it."

Thank you for your time.

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p5g7vLKhkez4O5af3y8XhIQ

Thursday, January 29, 2009

AA29 Spreadsheet Link

Hello and welcome to my blog.

The spreadsheet link for AA29 is below. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any of the stocks listed. Due diligence is your responsibility. If you need professional investment advice then find a professional.

Goes up, goes down. Slim pickings in terms of alerts. More green up alerts than orange down alerts.

Dow still dancing with 8100. My bias is still to the downside, trusting no counter rallies. Will have to wait and let the market show what it plans for the future.

Thank you for your time.

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p5g7vLKhkez6THKkGz7TUIQ

Wednesday, January 28, 2009

AA28 Spreadsheet Link

Hello and welcome to my blog.

The spreadsheet link for AA28 is below. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any of the stocks listed. Due diligence is your responsibility. If you need professional investment advice then find a professional.

Color me green. A fair number of green up alerts. The market liked the Fed.

Thank you for your time.

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p5g7vLKhkez6oAQ-9vkQZHg

Tuesday, January 27, 2009

AA27 Charts: SLW,PAAS,SLV,EGO

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SLW, PAAS, SLV, EGO. Two silver stocks, the silver ETF, and a gold stock.

This is not a recommendation to buy or sell these stocks. Due diligence is your responsibility. If you need professional investment advice then find a professional.

SLW has been presented over the last couple of weeks as an example of a stock turning "friendly". Not so bad so far, but a bit of a drop today. This drop was after bumping into overhead resistance around 7.00. Watching now to see if it will hold around 6.00. There is a tangle of the moving averages under the price and this can be used as an area of possible support. The thick blue line is around 5.60 and can be used as a point to re-evaluate the situation.

The other three charts show pretty much the same pattern as SLW. These are included to show the importance of looking at stocks in the same industries. Even though EGO is a gold stock the small spinning candle from yesterday is a clue that maybe things may not be as rosy as expected.
A small hint that perhaps it is time for a pause.

The plan is to keep an eye on all four of these stocks and see if they hold above the moving averages over the next few days. Will wait and see how it all unfolds.

Thank you for your time.




Charts courtesy of Wealth-lab.com.

AA27 Spreadsheet Link

Hello and welcome to my blog.

The spreadsheet link for AA27 is below. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any of the stocks listed. Due diligence is your responsibility. If you need professional investment advice then find a professional.

Again few more green up alerts and only three orange down alerts. I do not think the major tide has changed.

I have a bit more time today so I hope to post a couple of charts later.

Thank you for your time.

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p5g7vLKhkez4aRJqz1VNxKQ

Monday, January 26, 2009

AA26 Spreadsheet Link

Hello and welcome to my blog.

The spreadsheet link for AA26 is below. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any of the stocks listed. Due diligence is your responsibility. If you need professional investment advice then find a professional.

The number of alerts is way down. Fewer stocks to take a look at. More green up alerts than the orange down alerts. Perhaps everyone is a little road weary.

I did not find the time to review anything over the weekend but will scan through the charts in the next couple of days.

Thank you for your time.

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p5g7vLKhkez747zHaI6LTCA

Friday, January 23, 2009

AA23 Spreadsheet Link

Hello and welcome to my blog.

The spreadsheet link for AA23 is below. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any of the stocks listed. Due diligence is your responsibility. If you need professional investment advice then find a professional.

About the same number of green up alerts and orange down alerts. Oops, forgot to add the color, oh well. A lot fewer alerts than the past few days.

Will spend some weekend time looking at the charts. Will post if anything looks interesting.

Thank you for your time.

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p5g7vLKhkez6aUHapMM1iMg

Thursday, January 22, 2009

AA22 SLW Chart

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Just a quick chart of SLW with the "watch me" signal. Dark green line in the right hand corner. See if this gets friendlier.

This is not a recommendation to buy or sell this stock. Due diligence is your responsibility. If you need professional investment advice then find a professional.

Chart courtesy of Wealth-lab.com.

Thank you for your time.


AA22 Spreadsheet Link

Hello and welcome to my blog.

The spreadsheet link for AA22 is below. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any of the stocks listed. Due diligence is your responsibility. If you need professional investment advice then find a professional.

"First there is a mountain then there is no mountain then there is." Donovan

Again there are lots more orange down alerts than green up alerts. Though the reduction in the number of orange alerts seems to be continuing. Dow dancing with 8100.

SLW gave a intermediate "watch me" signal as the line in the ccc panel crossed above its moving average. May post a chart later, for sure tomorrow. This is one of the positives I was waiting to see.

Thank you for your time.

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p5g7vLKhkez6LAzWEFBcpdw

Wednesday, January 21, 2009

AA21 Spreadsheet Link

Hello and welcome to my blog.

The spreadsheet link for AA21 is below. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any of the stocks listed. Due diligence is your responsibility. If you need professional investment advice then find a professional.

Still a lot of orange down alerts but fewer in number. I have not had a chance to go over the last few days but maybe all 600 in the list have hit the down alert. -g- The pendulum may have finally maxed out for now and at least a bit of a rebound swing may be expected.

In terms of the Dow maybe it will hang around that 8100 level for a bit. Love those nines. My guess still says that this is a secular bear market which will not end soon. Counter rallies are to be expected but I would not trust them.

Thank you for your time.

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p5g7vLKhkez6d_Se8BC4UKw

Tuesday, January 20, 2009

AA20 Spreadsheet Link

Hello and welcome to my blog.

The spreadsheet link for AA20 is below. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any of the stocks listed. Due diligence is your responsibility. If you need professional investment advice then find a professional.

Again a whole lot of orange down alerts. Just as I was thinking I could retire the green crayon and buy a new orange crayon, two stocks showed up in the green up alert column. SLW which I have shown charts for in the last few days, and SLV the silver ETF thing. Pretty much both have the same chart pattern. I am still cautious though since they are opposite to the general tide. Watching to see if SLW can hold above a tangle of moving average lines.

Perhaps the culmination of down is about over. Dow low in late November was around 7450, which was a 2 day reversal thing. Not that far away from that now. 7500 is a nice round 9 number and maybe that is where it is heading. A very rough measurement of a large Dow head and shoulders pattern pencils in around 7750. So, sort of in the neighbourhood. As always see what the reality of the future brings versus guessing at the maybes.

If I could draw political cartoons I would have Obama as the little Dutch boy with his finger in a dyke. Behind the dyke would be a huge tidal wave of all the woes of the world going on now. I cannot remember if the kid in the story saved the day or not. The future will tell the tale.

Thank you for your time.

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p5g7vLKhkez6JODaiS4DzNg

Sunday, January 18, 2009

AA18 SLW...PALM (charts)

Hello and welcome to my blog.

I spent some time looking at the weekly charts and to state the obvious...there was nothing pretty to look at. The whole market mess is going to take some time to work out. In the meantime it is probably best to simply follow the charts and see what develops. The situation of widespread carnage makes it difficult to find any promising situations. It is very much a problem of trying to swim upstream. Best to keep the powder dry, look for good situations and keep the faith.

SLW again as it moved up from the support level. Would like to see it remain above the 81 period moving average. An expansion of the contracted moving averages would also be positive. See what happens.

The chart of PALM is an example of the green up alert with a positive outcome. Good things still can happen even when it all looks bad.

This is not a recommendation to buy or sell these stocks. Due diligence is your responsibility. If you need professional investment advice then find a professional.

Thank you for your time.




Charts courtesy of Wealth-lab.com.

Saturday, January 17, 2009

AA16 Spreadsheet Link

Hello and welcome to my blog.

The spreadsheet link for AA16 is below. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any of the stocks listed. Due diligence is your responsibility. If you need professional investment advice then find a professional.

Lots of orange down alerts again. Show no mercy.

SLW did a pop-up, I will probably post a couple of charts over the weekend.

Thank you for your time.

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p5g7vLKhkez5DmzJdZ7-BdA

Thursday, January 15, 2009

AA15 Spreadsheet Link

Hello and welcome to my blog.

The spreadsheet link for AA15 is below. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any of the stocks listed. Due diligence is your responsibility. If you need professional investment advice then find a professional.

Again all orange down alerts. Perhaps it is time for the pendulum to at least pause.

SLW showed up in the orange down alert list. Still friendly but cautious. It did close up on the day with an intraday move below 5.00. Waiting now to see if it moves back into the green up alert list. The indicator down slope looks like it has decreased which is positive. Waiting now for the up alert signal. For a couple of very similar looking charts see PAAS and EGO.

Thank you for your time.

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p5g7vLKhkez7_byd9jQs-Kw

Wednesday, January 14, 2009

AA14 SLW (closer look)

Hello and welcome to my blog.

A closer look at SLW. Today it moved below the dark blue line but held above the 5.00 level. Still friendly but a little cautious. The same parameters as yesterday remain.

This is not a recommendation to buy or sell this stock. Due diligence is your responsibility. If you need professional investment advice then find a professional.

Thank you for your time.

Chart courtesy of Wealth-lab.com.

AA14 Spreadsheet Link

Hello and welcome to my blog.

The spreadsheet link for AA14 is below. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any of the stocks listed. Due diligence is your responsibility. If you need professional investment advice then find a professional.

Color me all orange down alerts. Not one green up alert. No where to run, no where to hide.

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p5g7vLKhkez4h_ITKIrmYUQ

Tuesday, January 13, 2009

AA13 Chart SLW (friendly?)

Hello and welcome to my blog.

SLW as a chart example of what I would call a friendly chart. Whether it remains that way in the future is something I have no control over.

This is not a recommendation to buy or sell this stock. Due diligence is your responsibility. If you need professional investment advice then find a professional.


Chart courtesy of Wealth-Lab.com. Thanks.

In early December the green up alert indicated a possible up move. The actual move carried from a bit over 4 to a bit under 7. The recent pull back has been to the lower dark blue line ~5.40 which is also the level of the 54 day moving average. The big IF will be whether the price holds above these lines. To give the price wiggle room perhaps 5.00 will come in as support. A horizontal line at 5.00 does not seem out of place.

Basically looking to hold above either the shorter term moving average or around 5.00. Risk management would be 10% below the entry level and seems reasonable given the look of the chart.

Things to watch for to stay friendly and get friendlier. Hold moving average and support, move above the pale blue linear regression line. Signal in CCC pane of dark line crossing red, will show up as a dark green signal line. Move back above the red moving average line and the longer term 81 day moving average.

So a few things to look out for and see how the future unfolds.

Thank you for your time.

AA13 Spreadsheet Link

Hello and welcome to my blog.

The spreadsheet link for AA13 is below. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any of the stocks listed. Due diligence is your responsibility. If you need professional investment advice then find a professional.

Oy. Color me orange. With one exception, all orange down alerts. Oy.

My guess is this is not a pendulum thing going on, with an extreme followed by a counter move. That is my personal bias with nothing to substantiate it. Call it gut but I am biased towards a down move. Using the Dow as a surrogate and 9000 as overhead resistance, the possible down side support may be around 8100. This is 90 squared. I do love the nines. As always, the future is unknown. Watch and see what the future will bring.

Thank you for your time.

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p5g7vLKhkez5ZXJ2KOosrHg

Monday, January 12, 2009

AA12 Spreadsheet Link

Hello and welcome to my blog.

The spreadsheet link for AA12 is below. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any of the stocks listed. Due diligence is your responsibility. If you need professional investment advice then find a professional.

And yet a few more sell alerts showing up. I had a chance to scroll through the charts this weekend and only a handful looked interesting for the buy side. None though screamed out to pay real close attention. Part of a lyric from a Long John Baldry song kept going through my head..."it aint easy, it aint easy, it aint easy to be goin up when your goin down."

Thank you for your time.

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p5g7vLKhkez5rmDHtDDIvOg

Saturday, January 10, 2009

AA09 Spreadsheet Link

Hello and welcome to my blog.

The spreadsheet link for AA09 is below. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any of the stocks listed. Due diligence is your responsibility. If you need professional investment advice then find a professional.

A few more sell alerts showing up. Maybe the new year glow is waning.

Thank you for your time.

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p5g7vLKhkez7o1U7e8DMiAQ